Southampton have ten Championship games remaining this season as they look to secure a return to the Premier League at the first attempt.
It has been a largely positive season, with a record breaking 25-game unbeaten run between the end of September and the start of February a real cause for optimism following four defeats in a row. Since that run came to an end, Southampton‘s form has been indifferent, with four defeats in the last seven in all competitions and 17 goals conceded in that time.
Given the complete overhaul of playing style that came with the appointment of the possession-focussed Russell Martin in the summer, Southampton’s players have adapted well and are becoming increasingly confident in their manager’s tactics.
In most Championship seasons, Southampton’s 73 points after 36 games would see them in the top two, but such has been the quality of Leicester City, Ipswich Town and Leeds United, that the Saints are in fourth and eight points off the automatic promotions places, albeit with two games in hand on Ipswich in second.
Due to the postponement of the Saints’ home game against Preston due to a fire close to St Mary’s Stadium and Leicester’s FA Cup endeavours meaning Southampton have been without a game since last weekend’s 4–2 win over Sunderland, Martin’s side face the prospect of playing their remaining ten games across a period of just 36 days.
With a game on average every 3.6 days in the run-in, Southampton’s squad will be tested to its limits as they chase a Premier League return.
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Speaking about the intense scheduling between now and the end of the season ahead of the win over Sunderland, Martin conceded: “It is what it is”.
The Saints boss went on to say: “I don’t know if it will be positive or negative. We won’t know until the end of the season.
“We are in the midst of a really relentless period and now we have to face another one from the end of March and April.
“I don’t know if it will be good or bad but it’s not ideal that we will look at the league and teams will have played two more games than us”.
Momentum is a massive thing in football and if Southampton find their rhythm they will welcome games coming thick and fast. The flip-side of that, though, is that if they are not winning there is effectively no time on the training ground to put things right.
There is also an increased risk of injuries and the fact that any players picking up injuries are likely to miss multiple games due to the proximity of fixtures.
Martin will have no choice but to rotate in race for promotion
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Whilst Martin will not use the run of fixtures between now and the end of the season as an excuse should Southampton miss out on promotion, it is undeniable that it makes his job more difficult.
With games coming so frequently, Martin will not be afforded the luxury of naming a consistent, settled side for the final ten games. It simply won’t be possible for the same 11 players to start every game and therefore Martin will have to manage his squad.
Whilst promotion rivals Leicester, Ipswich and Leeds may be able to put out pretty much the same side each game, Martin will have to be slightly more adaptable. The squad will be tested to its limits, but Southampton do have a big squad full of quality and should be confident they are good enough to beat most sides in the Championship with whichever team Martin opts for.
Southampton still have to travel to all three of the sides above them in the final stretch and these games will be hugely influential in determining the fate of all four sides.
The away clash at Elland Road on the final day on the final day of the season has the potential to have seismic repercussions for the promotion battle. Southampton just have to hope they go into that game with their fate in their own hands.